Chaoda Modern Agriculture Stock Performance

CMGHF Stock  USD 0.01  0.00  0.00%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.23, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Chaoda Modern's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Chaoda Modern is expected to be smaller as well. Chaoda Modern Agriculture right now shows a risk of 1.77%. Please confirm Chaoda Modern Agriculture coefficient of variation and the relationship between the information ratio and day median price , to decide if Chaoda Modern Agriculture will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Chaoda Modern Agriculture has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable technical indicators, Chaoda Modern is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow89.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities14 K
  

Chaoda Modern Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1.16  in Chaoda Modern Agriculture on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  0.00  from holding Chaoda Modern Agriculture or generate 0.0% return on investment over 90 days. Chaoda Modern Agriculture is currently producing 0.0154% returns and takes up 1.773% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 15% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Chaoda, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Chaoda Modern is expected to generate 3.62 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.37 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Chaoda Modern Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Chaoda Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 0.01 
about 65.43
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chaoda Modern to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 65.43 (This Chaoda Modern Agriculture probability density function shows the probability of Chaoda Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Chaoda Modern has a beta of 0.23 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Chaoda Modern average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Chaoda Modern Agriculture will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Chaoda Modern Agriculture has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Chaoda Modern Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Chaoda Modern

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chaoda Modern Agriculture. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.011.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.011.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00020.011.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.010.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Chaoda Modern. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Chaoda Modern's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Chaoda Modern's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Chaoda Modern Agriculture.

Chaoda Modern Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chaoda Modern is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chaoda Modern's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chaoda Modern Agriculture, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chaoda Modern within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0072
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
0.0003
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Chaoda Modern Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chaoda Modern for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chaoda Modern Agriculture can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Chaoda Modern has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Chaoda Modern has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 83.63 M. Net Loss for the year was (17.07 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 21.56 M.
About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Chaoda Modern Fundamentals Growth

Chaoda Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Chaoda Modern, and Chaoda Modern fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Chaoda Pink Sheet performance.

About Chaoda Modern Performance

By analyzing Chaoda Modern's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Chaoda Modern's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Chaoda Modern has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Chaoda Modern has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Chaoda Modern Agriculture Limited, an investment holding company, engages in growing and selling agricultural products in Hong Kong and internationally. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong. Chaoda Modern operates under Farm Products classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 96 people.

Things to note about Chaoda Modern Agriculture performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Chaoda Modern for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Chaoda Modern Agriculture help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Chaoda Modern has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Chaoda Modern has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 83.63 M. Net Loss for the year was (17.07 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 21.56 M.
About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating Chaoda Modern's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Chaoda Modern's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Chaoda Modern's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Chaoda Modern's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Chaoda Modern's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Chaoda Modern's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Chaoda Modern's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Chaoda Modern's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Chaoda Modern's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Chaoda Modern's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Chaoda Modern's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Chaoda Pink Sheet analysis

When running Chaoda Modern's price analysis, check to measure Chaoda Modern's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chaoda Modern is operating at the current time. Most of Chaoda Modern's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chaoda Modern's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chaoda Modern's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chaoda Modern to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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